Australia Real Estate Prediction 2016 - Melbourne CBD Market Crash for Overseas Property Investors

Big Bad Wolf of the Melbourne CBD Apartment Collapse in 2016. Towers of Melbourne apartments made of straw are tipped to collapse as the big bad wolf of oversupply and APRA hits the CBD and Southbank real estate markets

There are three little pigs of circumstances that has created a unique set of market conditions that will force property investors into financial duress.

  1. Piggy One - Mammoth over supply effecting occupancy and rentability 
  2. Piggy Two - APRA finance conditions reducing LVR’s for overseas investors
  3. Piggy Three -  Bank valuers reducing purchase prices by up to 20%

During the GFC, Victoria was building about 8000 to 9000 apartments a year. In 2015, Victoria's 38,208 approvals of new apartments accounted for nearly a third of the national total of 187,115 the highest for the first time in Australia’s history. Melbourne CBD approvals for 6 months of 2015 was a enormous 12,516. The scale of Melbourne’s high-rise boom, can best be demonstrated when you add unit approvals for inner city Brisbane, Sydney and Perth over the same period, was only 11,524. Source: [Activity Monitor] https://data.melbourne.vic.gov.au/Property-Planning/Development-Activity-Monitor/75r3-8eee

"Many overseas investors will be disappointed that their off-the-plan, Australia property investment is worth less than the purchase price "

Scott O Talbot

To understand the Melbourne CBD and Southbank property market, supply and demand, immigration and birth rates, valuations and Government policy is critical due-diligence to prepare the canvas prior to painting a picture of the real estate market.

Read the full report:  http://uchkconsulting.com/big-bad-wolf-melbourne-apartment-market.html

Share:


Tags: australia investment, australia property, australia real estate


Additional Links

About UCHK Consulting Ltd

View Website

UCHK Consulting Ltd provides overseas property investors, Australian Government (FIRB) approved real estate investment opportunities, information and logistics.